U.S. Cannabis Spot Index down 0.7% to $1,092 per pound.
The simple average (non-volume weighted) price decreased $30 to $1,155 per pound, with 68% of transactions (one standard deviation) in the $415 to $1,894 per pound range. The average reported deal size declined to 2.8 pounds from 3.1 pounds last week. In grams, the Spot price was $2.41, and the simple average price was $2.55.
The relative frequency of trades for indoor flower increased week-over-week by 1%. The relative frequency of transactions involving greenhouse product decreased by the same proportion, while that for deals for outdoor flower was unchanged. Outdoor product’s share of the total reported weight moved nationwide contracted by 1% compared to last week. The relative volume of greenhouse flower increased by the same magnitude, while that for indoor product was stable week-over-week.
The U.S. Spot Index ticked downward for the fourth consecutive week, by 0.7%, to settle at $1,092 per pound. At this point, it appears unlikely that a late-March rally in the national composite price will occur, as it has in each of the previous two years. 2017’s annual high price was observed in the final week of March, while the same week last year saw the second-highest weekly Spot rate documented in 2018. Still, it should be noted that sustained upward momentum in wholesale prices has been observed in several mid-sized and small markets so far this year – notably Michigan, Massachusetts, and Illinois. However, low and declining prices in the West Coast markets have overwhelmed those gains. Colorado’s Spot Index also saw its second decline in three weeks, tempering the consistent ascent of prices that was observed earlier this year.
The national volume-weighted price for flower to be sold in adult-use markets this week ticked upward slightly. While Oregon was the only such market to see an increase in its Spot Index, an increase in reported trading volume from that state lent the price rise more influence, causing it to outweigh marginal decreases in the other major recreational markets.
April 2019 Forward unchanged at $1,075 per pound.
The average reported forward deal size declined nominally to 46 pounds. The proportion of forward deals for outdoor, greenhouse, and indoor-grown flower was unchanged at 56%, 28%, and 16% of forward arrangements, respectively. The average forward deal size for monthly delivery for outdoor, greenhouse, and indoor-grown flower was 50 pounds, 41 pounds, and 41 pounds, respectively.
At $1,075 per pound, the April Forward represents a discount of 1.6% relative to the current U.S. Spot Price of $1,092 per pound. The premium or discount for each Forward price, relative to the U.S. Spot Index, is illustrated in the table below.
Sample Headlines From This Week’s Premium Report:
Los Angeles Releases New Info on Next Phase of Local Licensing, But Timeline for More Retailers to Open Remains Uncertain
Total Retail Sales in January 2019 Down Month-Over-Month, But Up Almost 6% From January 2018