U.S. Cannabis Spot Index — Published September 13, 2019
U.S. Cannabis Spot Index up 1.1% to $1,389 per pound.
The simple average (non-volume weighted) price increased $4 to $1,600 per pound, with 68% of transactions (one standard deviation) in the $854 to $2,347 per pound range. The average reported deal size declined to 2.1 pounds. In grams, the Spot price was $3.06 and the simple average price was $3.53.
The relative frequency of trades for outdoor flower increased by 1% this week. The relative frequency of transactions involving indoor product decreased by the same proportion, while that for greenhouse flower was stable. Greenhouse product’s share of the total documented weight moved nationally contracted by almost 3% this week. The relative volumes of warehouse and outdoor flower grew by about 2% and 1%, respectively.
The U.S. Spot Index rose by 1.1% this week to settle at $1,389 per pound. Upticks in the weekly composite prices of Colorado, Oregon, Washington, and Nevada, as well as the mid-sized markets of Michigan, Massachusetts, and Illinois, outweighed declines in California and Arizona.
The opening half of September has seen the U.S. Spot level off a bit just below its current annual peak of $1,404 per pound, documented in the final week of August. While the behavior of wholesale cannabis prices in the weeks ahead depend largely on the fall harvest, it must be noted that available historical sales data from both adult-use and medical markets indicates that demand tends to subside in the period from September through November. Still, as we point out in regard to Colorado, lower demand in the coming months could still be stronger relative to that observed in the same period in recent years.
The national volume-weighted price for flower to be sold to general consumers jumped this week as nearly every market in which adult-use sales are taking place saw rates for such product increase, with Alaska the only exception. Prices for medical flower slipped again this week, primarily on decreases in that sector of the market in California, as well as in Arizona, New Mexico, Rhode Island, and some other smaller medical-only markets.
October Forward unchanged at $1,200 per pound. The average reported forward deal size was 47 pounds. The proportion of forward deals for outdoor, greenhouse, and indoor-grown flower was 58%, 26%, and 16% of forward arrangements, respectively. The average forward deal sizes for monthly delivery for outdoor, greenhouse, and indoor-grown flower were 43 pounds, 44 pounds, and 63 pounds, respectively.
At $1,200 per pound, the October Forward represents a discount of 13.6% relative to the current U.S. Spot Price of $1,389 per pound. The premium or discount for each Forward price, relative to the U.S. Spot Index, is illustrated in the table below.
Headlines From This Week’s Premium Report:
- Number of Active Cultivation Licenses Up Over 25% From July After Changes to Provisional Licensing
July Sales Once Again Set New Record in State’s Legal System as Unprecedented Demand Drives Up Wholesale Prices
- Demand Reached New Heights in August But Illnesses and Deaths Linked to Vaping Could Dent Sales this Month
- Upward Trend in Prices That Persisted from April Appears to be Leveling Off
- Corruption and Other Allegations Could Prevent About a Dozen Businesses Seeking Licenses from Entering State’s Growing Adult-Use Market
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Cannabis Benchmarks®, a division of New Leaf Data Services, LLC
13 September 2019. Copyright © 2019 New Leaf Data Services, LLC. All rights reserved