U.S. Cannabis Spot Index — Published November 27, 2020
U.S. Cannabis Spot Index down 0.5% to $1,594 per pound.
The simple average (non-volume weighted) price increased $19 to $1,846 per pound, with 68% of transactions (one standard deviation) in the $1,131 to $2,561 per pound range. The average reported deal size increased to 2.3 pounds. In grams, the Spot price was $3.51 and the simple average price was $4.07.
The relative frequency of trades for greenhouse flower decreased by 3%. The relative frequency of deals for indoor product increased by the same proportion, while that for transactions for outdoor flower was unchanged.
The relative volume of warehouse flower expanded by almost 2% this week. The relative volume of greenhouse product contracted by the same proportion, while that for outdoor flower was stable.
The U.S. Spot Index averaged $1,621 per pound in November, off by 1.3% from the mean price of $1,642 per pound observed last month. November is the first month to see a downturn in its average national composite price since May of this year, in the early months of the COVID-19 pandemic when record-breaking sales that extended into the summer – and autumn in some cases – were just beginning to pick up.
Notably, rates for each individual grow type on the national level were up in November relative to the prior month. The overall downturn in the U.S. Spot was due to increased proportions of lower-priced outdoor flower from this year’s harvest making its way to market.
Additionally, the Spot Indices of some of the country’s largest state markets – namely California, Colorado, Oregon, and Washington – have begun to trend downward recently. We have seen sales level off in those states – and others – after peaking in the mid-late summer. The four aforementioned markets are also the ones where outdoor cultivation is most prevalent and the largest volumes of flower are traded.
December Implied Forward closes unchanged at $1,590 per pound.
The average reported forward deal size was 31 pounds. The proportions of forward deals for outdoor, greenhouse, and indoor-grown flower were 46%, 32%, and 22% of forward arrangements, respectively. The average forward deal sizes for monthly delivery for outdoor, greenhouse, and indoor-grown flower were 41 pounds, 18 pounds, and 27 pounds, respectively.
At $1,590 per pound, the December Forward represents a discount of 0.2% relative to the current U.S. Spot Price of $1,594 per pound. The premium or discount for each Forward price, relative to the U.S. Spot Index, is illustrated in the table below.
Headlines from this week's Premium Report:
State Working Toward Changing Product Testing Rules, Including Adding Screenings for Heavy Metals and Mycotoxins
Rulemaking to Implement New Mandatory Testing and Allow Tier 1 Producers to Expand Continues
State Officials Release Instructions on Applying for Adult-Use Licenses; Recreational Market Will Open to Any Eligible Applicant Beginning March 2021
Sales Volume Figures Jump to New Record in October; Wholesale Prices Rise on Strong Demand and New Required Testing
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Cannabis Benchmarks®, a division of New Leaf Data Services, LLC
27 November 2020. Copyright © 2020 New Leaf Data Services, LLC. All rights reserved